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๐Ÿ“˜ Reading ใ€ŽWhy Stocks Go Up and Downใ€ - ใ€Ž์ฃผ์‹์ด ์˜ค๋ฅด๊ณ  ๋‚ด๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ด์œ ใ€๋ฅผ ์ฝ๊ณ 

๐Ÿ“˜ Reading ใ€ŽWhy Stocks Go Up and Downใ€ - ใ€Ž์ฃผ์‹์ด ์˜ค๋ฅด๊ณ  ๋‚ด๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ด์œ ใ€๋ฅผ ์ฝ๊ณ 

๐Ÿ’น (English) Investing Speaks in Numbers Too

Reading *Why Stocks Go Up and Down*

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๐Ÿ“– Book Title: Why Stocks Go Up and Down
โœ๏ธ Author: William H. Pike
๐ŸŽฏ Recommended For: Anyone wanting to build a solid foundation in stock investing. Those interested in corporate management or IPOs. Investors curious about quantitative rather than qualitative decision-making.
๐ŸŒŸ One-Line Review: Stocks speak more in numbers than in stories.


๐Ÿ“Œ The Perspective: โ€œAnalyze Stocks Like Bondsโ€

This book is like a foundational training program for stock investing.
Iโ€™ve heard the usual advice:

โ€œYou need to read financial statements.โ€
โ€œBuy low, sell high.โ€
But in practice, I realized I often focused more on trends, themes, and stories when investing.

This book offers a fresh take โ€” that stocks, like bonds, can be evaluated based on expected return.
Rather than relying on intuition or mood, it encourages data-driven, evidence-based judgment.


๐Ÿ“Š Financial Insight for Practical Investors

Personally, I used to evaluate industries based on future potential or a companyโ€™s vision,
or build portfolios based on volatility and asset correlations.

With bonds, however, I prioritized interest rates and expected returns, adopting a more quantitative view.
This book brings that same lens to stocks,
emphasizing that we can also quantify stock investments by expected return.

It thoroughly explains how elements like income statements, cash flow statements, and equity offerings
affect corporate decisions and ultimately impact investment outcomes.


๐Ÿข A Useful Book for Aspiring Entrepreneurs Too

What surprised me was that this isnโ€™t just a book for stock investors โ€”
itโ€™s also a valuable resource for those considering starting a business or running a company.

  • Why do companies go public (IPO)?
  • When should they issue new stock?
  • When is it better to issue bonds or take out loans?

The book clearly connects these practical choices to underlying financial structures.


๐Ÿค” But in the End, Stocks Are Still Uncertain

Of course, as the book acknowledges,
stock valuation is ultimately uncertain.

Even if you calculate PER or EV/EBITDA,
youโ€™re still relying on historical data or peer comparisons.
So, there is no absolute standard โ€” investing always requires insight and experience.


๐Ÿ’ฌ Final Thoughts

Why Stocks Go Up and Down is a must-read for anyone who wants to truly understand what a โ€œstockโ€ is.

  • If you want to look beyond trends and study core financial structures,
  • If you want to invest based on evidence, not emotion,
  • Or if youโ€™re planning to start or manage a company,

This book offers a practical, solid foundation.
It teaches you how to speak the language of numbers rather than narratives in the world of investing.


๐Ÿ’น (ํ•œ๊ตญ์–ด) ์ฃผ์‹๋„ ์ˆ˜์น˜๋กœ ๋งํ•œ๋‹ค

ใ€Ž์ฃผ์‹์ด ์˜ค๋ฅด๊ณ  ๋‚ด๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ด์œ ใ€๋ฅผ ์ฝ๊ณ 

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๐Ÿ“– ์ฑ… ์ œ๋ชฉ: ใ€ŽWhy Stocks Go Up and Downใ€
โœ๏ธ ์ž‘๊ฐ€: Bill Pike
๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ ๋Œ€์ƒ: ์ฃผ์‹ ํˆฌ์ž์˜ ๊ธฐ์ดˆ๋ฅผ ๋‹ค์ง€๊ณ  ์‹ถ์€ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ. ๊ธฐ์—… ์šด์˜์ด๋‚˜ IPO์— ๊ด€์‹ฌ ์žˆ๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋žŒ. ์ •์„ฑ์  ํŒ๋‹จ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ •๋Ÿ‰์  ํˆฌ์ž ๊ธฐ์ค€์ด ๊ถ๊ธˆํ•œ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ.
๐ŸŒŸ ํ•œ์ค„ ๊ฐ์ƒ: ์ฃผ์‹์€ ์Šคํ† ๋ฆฌ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ˆซ์ž๋กœ ๋งํ•ด์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹ค.


๐Ÿ“Œ โ€œ์ฃผ์‹๋„ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ๋ถ„์„ํ•˜๋ผโ€๋Š” ์‹œ์„ 

์ด ์ฑ…์€ ์ฃผ์‹ ํˆฌ์ž์— ์žˆ์–ด โ€˜๊ธฐ์ดˆ ์ฒด๋ ฅโ€™์„ ๋‹ค์ ธ์ฃผ๋Š” ์ฑ…์ด๋‹ค.
๋Š˜ ๋“ค์–ด์˜จ ๋ง๋“ค, ์ด๋ฅผํ…Œ๋ฉด

โ€œ์žฌ๋ฌด์ œํ‘œ๋ฅผ ์ž˜ ๋ด์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹คโ€
โ€œ์‹ธ๊ฒŒ ์‚ฌ์„œ ๋น„์‹ธ๊ฒŒ ํŒ”์•„์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹คโ€
๋Š” ์ต์ˆ™ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์‹ค์ „์—์„œ๋Š” ํŠธ๋ Œ๋“œ์™€ ํ…Œ๋งˆ, ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์Šคํ† ๋ฆฌ์— ๋” ์ง‘์ค‘ํ•ด์™”๋˜ ๋‚˜ ์ž์‹ ์„ ๋Œ์•„๋ณด๊ฒŒ ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

ํŠนํžˆ ์ด ์ฑ…์€ ์ฃผ์‹๋„ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ, ์˜ˆ์ƒ ์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ ์„ ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ํˆฌ์žํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ด€์ ์„ ์ œ์‹œํ•œ๋‹ค.
์ด๋Š” ๊ฐ๊ฐ์ด๋‚˜ ๋ถ„์œ„๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค๋„ ์ˆ˜์น˜๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ทผ๊ฑฐ ์žˆ๊ฒŒ ํŒ๋‹จํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์ด๋ผ ์‹ ์„ ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.


๐Ÿ“Š ์‹ค์ „ ํˆฌ์ž์ž์—๊ฒŒ ํ•„์š”ํ•œ ์žฌ๋ฌด์  ๊ฐ๊ฐ

๋‚˜๋Š” ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ์— ์‚ฐ์—…์˜ ๋ฏธ๋ž˜์„ฑ์ด๋‚˜ ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๋น„์ „์„ ํŒ๋‹จ ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ์‚ผ์•˜๊ณ ,
๋˜๋Š” ๋ณ€๋™์„ฑ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐ ์ง‘์ค‘ํ•ด์™”๋‹ค.

ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ํˆฌ์ž์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ, ์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ  ๋“ฑ ์ •๋Ÿ‰์ ์ธ ๋ถ„์„์„ ์šฐ์„ ์‹œํ–ˆ์—ˆ๋‹ค.
์ด ์ฑ…์€ ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ํˆฌ์ž์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ,
์ฃผ์‹๋„ โ€˜์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ ์„ ์ •๋Ÿ‰์ ์œผ๋กœ ํŒ๋‹จโ€™ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋งํ•œ๋‹ค.

์ด๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ์†์ต๊ณ„์‚ฐ์„œ, ํ˜„๊ธˆํ๋ฆ„ํ‘œ, ์œ ์ƒ์ฆ์ž ๋“ฑ
๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ์ž๊ธˆ ํ๋ฆ„๊ณผ ๊ฒฝ์˜ ํŒ๋‹จ์ด ํˆฌ์ž์— ์–ด๋–ค ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น˜๋Š”์ง€
์•„์ฃผ ์ƒ์„ธํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์„ค๋ช…ํ•œ๋‹ค.


๐Ÿข ์ฐฝ์—…๊ฐ€์—๊ฒŒ๋„ ์œ ์ตํ•œ ์ฑ…

์˜์™ธ์˜€๋˜ ์ง€์ ์€,
๋‹จ์ˆœํžˆ โ€˜์ฃผ์‹ ํˆฌ์ž์„œโ€™๋ฅผ ๋„˜์–ด์„œ ๋ฒ•์ธ ์„ค๋ฆฝ์ด๋‚˜ ๊ธฐ์—… ์šด์˜์„ ๊ฟˆ๊พธ๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์—๊ฒŒ๋„ ๋งค์šฐ ์œ ์šฉํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.

  • ๊ธฐ์—…์ด ์™œ IPO๋ฅผ ํ•˜๋Š”์ง€
  • ์–ด๋–ค ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์œ ์ƒ์ฆ์ž๋ฅผ ํ•˜๊ณ ,
  • ์–ด๋–ค ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ์„ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์€ํ–‰ ๋Œ€์ถœ์„ ํƒํ•˜๋Š”์ง€

์ด๋Ÿฐ ์‹ค์ „์ ์ธ ์„ ํƒ์ง€๋“ค์ด ์žฌ๋ฌด์  ๊ตฌ์กฐ์™€ ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฑธ ๋ช…ํ™•ํžˆ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค€๋‹ค.


๐Ÿค” ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ์ฃผ์‹์€ ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ โ€˜๋ถˆํ™•์‹คโ€™ ๊ทธ ์ž์ฒด

๋ฌผ๋ก  ์ฑ…์—์„œ๋„ ์–ธ๊ธ‰ํ•˜๋“ฏ,
๊ฒฐ๊ตญ ์ฃผ์‹์˜ ๊ฐ€์น˜๋Š” ์•Œ ์ˆ˜ ์—†๋‹ค๋Š” ํ•œ๊ณ„๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋‹ค.

์•„๋ฌด๋ฆฌ PER์ด๋‚˜ EV/EBITDA ๋“ฑ์„ ๊ณ„์‚ฐํ•ด๋„,
์ด๋Š” ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ์ง€ํ‘œ๋‚˜ ๋™์ข…๊ธฐ์—… ๋น„๊ต์— ์˜์กดํ•  ์ˆ˜๋ฐ–์— ์—†๋‹ค.
์ฆ‰, ์ ˆ๋Œ€์ ์ธ ๊ธฐ์ค€์€ ์—†์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ ํˆฌ์ž์—๋Š” ํ†ต์ฐฐ๊ณผ ๊ฒฝํ—˜์ด ํ•„์š”ํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ๋ง์ด๋‹ค.


๐Ÿ’ฌ ๋งˆ๋ฌด๋ฆฌํ•˜๋ฉฐ

ใ€ŽWhy Stocks Go Up and Downใ€์€ โ€˜์ฃผ์‹โ€™์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ƒํ’ˆ์„ ๋ณธ์งˆ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ดํ•ดํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ์€ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์—๊ฒŒ ๊ฐ•๋ ฅํžˆ ์ถ”์ฒœํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ๋‹ค.

  • ํŠธ๋ Œ๋“œ๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹Œ ๊ธฐ์ดˆ ์žฌ๋ฌด ๊ตฌ์กฐ๋ฅผ ๋ณด๊ณ  ์‹ถ๋‹ค๋ฉด
  • ๊ฐ๊ฐ์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ๊ทผ๊ฑฐ ์žˆ๋Š” ํˆฌ์ž๋ฅผ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ๋‹ค๋ฉด
  • ํ˜น์€ ํ–ฅํ›„ ๊ธฐ์—… ์šด์˜์„ ์—ผ๋‘์— ๋‘๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๋ฉด

์ด ์ฑ…์€ ์‹ค์šฉ์ ์ด๊ณ ๋„ ๋‹จ๋‹จํ•œ ํ† ๋Œ€๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณตํ•ด์ค„ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.
์ •์„ฑ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ •๋Ÿ‰์˜ ์–ธ์–ด๋กœ, ์ฃผ์‹์„ ๋งํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฒ•์„ ์•Œ๋ ค์ฃผ๋Š” ๊ณ ๋งˆ์šด ์ฑ…์ด๋‹ค.

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